Gerry Maxey’s Copyrighted 19th Century Solution to the 21st Century Ukraine Crisis

During the Middle Ages, King Canute sauntered down to the seashore, sat on a throne, and commanded the waves to stop coming in.  The waves did not stop.

According to President Obama and his harem of Sublime Porte courtiers, King Canute's big mistake was not a mistake in geopolitics or in the geostrategic or in violating the Laws of Nature itself, but in his timing. According to  President Obama and his Sublime Porte courtiers, King Canute’s only mistake in not stopping the waves was not living in the 21^st Century.

President Obama, unlike failed King Canute, does live in the 21^st Century; in the Century of FACEBOOK, TWITTER, and  Beyonce, therefore fantasies can become policy. As a Leader without any concept of a Faulknerian Past, President Obama believes his Modernity can overcome geopolitical facts, geostrategic facts, the Laws of Nature, Jungian irredentism, the Blood Memory of Boris and Gleb, 1500 years of Russian history and 5,000 years of Human History.

The WASHINGTON POST on March 2, 2014, accused President Obama of this: “ President Obama’s foreign policy is based on fantasy...

“FOR FIVE YEARS, President Obama has led a foreign policy based more on how he thinks the world should operate than on reality…..”Washington Post.”

President Obama is so Modern; he believes nothing Ancient in Statecraft has value, credence, viability, resonance or danger. President Obama has created a foreign policy so stepped in BARON MUNCHAUSEN fantasy that fantasy is no longer a symptom of that policy but is that policy.

Russian President Vladimir Putin certainly has not gotten the TWEET nor has he subscribed to the FACEBOOK page informing him that the old games of geopolitics are no longer valid because it is now the 21^st Century; instead he has seized the Crimea from Ukraine.

John Kerry reacted to Putin’s irredentism by pontificating like a Kindergarten teacher’s assistant explaining the concept of TIMEOUT to a misbehaving brat:” Secretary of State John F. Kerry  on ABC’s “This Week” Sunday when he said, of Russia’s invasion of neighboring Ukraine, “It’s a 19th century act in the 21st century.”

The 21^st Century has more in common with 19^th Century Realpolitik than it does with President Obama’s fantasies, or Secretary Kerry’s kindergarten pedagogical exhortation.

America’s intelligence apparatus was caught flat footed about the seizure of Crimea because it is entrenched in  Group Think politically correct Modernity; it is no longer capable of foreseeing that  nations will make war for the reason of Jungian Blood Memory in 2014, as they have for 5,000 years.

“WASHINGTON --… a classified report earlier in the week by the Pentagon's Defense Intelligence Agency, responsible for collecting and analyzing military intelligence, concluded that Russian military drills with 150,000 troops near the Ukrainian border would not provide a pretext for sending troops into Crimea.

A separate classified analysis from the CIA said that some signs pointed to a Russian intervention, but that it did not expect one, the officials said.

A closed-door briefing to members of Congress last Thursday by Robert Cardillo, deputy director of national intelligence, also did not suggest military action was imminent, according to officials who asked not to be identified discussing a classified briefing.

“I think the Russian steps came as a surprise,” said Rep. Adam B. Schiff (D-Burbank), an Intelligence Committee member. “I think in part it comes from trying to predict a fairly unpredictable [Russian President] Vladimir Putin.” Rep. Jim Himes (D-Conn.), another committee member, offered a similar analysis. “In intelligence, the hardest thing to get at is the intent of a foreign actor, and I don’t know any good way to know what Putin is thinking at 3 in the morning.”….…LOS ANGELES TIMES”

What banal claptrap to say no one can predict Putin; every astute observer of Putin’s background as a former KGB agent, Russian Nationalist, Russian Patriot, Russian Orthodox adherent, Jungian Irredentist knows what Putin is thinking; he wants to reverse the results of the Cold War.

On September 11, 2013 I published this Blog:  Obama vs. Putin….http://themaxeychronicles.blogspot.com/2013/09/obama-and-syria-samantha-power-medieval,html.

The following is from that Blog:“….Watch for Putin to seek the division of the Ukraine, into two parts, Russian Orthodox Ukraine and Nationalist Catholic Ukraine, with an eventual game plan of absorbing Russian Ukraine  back into Holy Mother Russia”

There are no astute observers left in the American Intelligence Services, nor in the American Foreign Policy team, nor in the American Ruling Class. The astute have all been driven into exile, ostracized as unhip, replaced by devotees of Modernity, Jay-Z, Beyonce, Lady Gaga, and every international courtier with divided loyalties. An Administration of Marginal Men cannot foresee what a Patriot will do, for they disdain Patriotic visions as old, déclassé, passé, so 19^th Century darling.

President Obama’s Sublime Porte courtiers can understand makeup and camera angles but cannot make a fire in the woods with two sticks, nor find their way home without GPS, even if their home is across the street.  Putin can do Modernity, but does not need modernity. Putin can use GPS but can also do Dead Reckoning. Putin is a Man for All Centuries.

One of the byproducts of the Ukraine Crisis is the immutable observation: that the American Ruling Class, in the 21^st Century, its Pundits, its Cognoscenti, its Talking Heads, its Leadership, is contemptible in its stultifying ignorance.

The Ukrainian Crisis has also revealed that American Foreign Policy under President Obama is all sloganeering: “We are on the right side of history”, “off-ramp for Putin”, “Putin is a thug”

Seemingly while Putin was learning Realpolitik , Team Obama was learning Foreign Policy from the MONTY PYTHON MINISTRY OF FUNNY WALKS, and sloganeering from Orwell’s ANIMAL FARM and 1984. In fact, Obama’s apparatchiks use slogans not as a shorthand for ideas but as sacred religious chants, which if they chant them enough around the campfire of Fantasy will keep the wolves of reality away.

 “The US Secretary of State, John Kerry, threatened new measures to isolate Moscow “politically, diplomatically and economically” as he denounced the Russian leadership for an “act of aggression” over the deployment of troops on Ukrainian soil.

During a visit to Kiev, he gave full backing to the new government in Ukraine and indicated that Washington could give the country $1bn in emergency aid to ease the impact of a financial crisis threatening it….. INDEPENDENT”

How can Russia be isolated diplomatically when it has a veto on the United Nations’ Security Council?

How can Russia be isolated diplomatically when the United States needs its help to cleanse Syria of chemical weapons? When it needs Russia’s help to end Iran’s Nuclear Weaponization? When it needs Russia’s help to withdraw American troops and material out of Afghanistan through Russian territory?

How can Russia be isolated economically when European countries use Russian Gas and Oil to heat their homes, cook their food, and fuel their cars and trolleys?

How can Russia be isolated economically when the new pro-Western government in Ukraine needs up to 35 billion dollars in aid over the next two years to pay its bills, its bills to Russia?

The 1 Billion that Kerry is offering Ukraine will go to Russia to pay the Ukrainian energy bill to Russia. That is Kerry’s definition of isolation.

How can Russia be isolated economically when it is the source for between 33% and 75% of Europe’s power, depending on the specific nation?

How can Russian be isolated politically when its President has been proclaimed by American Christians as the Lion of Christianity?

How can Russia be isolated politically when 75% of Eastern Ukraine speak Russian, and identify with the Russian Motherland? Eastern Ukrainians identify not with Lady Gaga nor Beyonce but with Tolstoy, Dostoevsky, Chekhov, Gogol, Pushkin, Babel, and Turgenev.

The following is the new Reality trumping Obama Modernity Fantasy:

The European Union has begin the process of putting together a 15 billion dollar bailout package to the Ukraine; the majority of that money will go to Russia to pay Ukraine’s past, current and future debt.

This is the new Reality trumping Obama’s Slogans:

“ Stephen Cohen the Professor of Russian studies at New York University, his new book is "Soviet Fates and Lost Alternatives:….

“ ….….. we are in an exceedingly dangerous moment. I would call this a fateful turning point. ….

….. Crimea is Russian no matter who administers it. It is part of Russia and what's happened this last week ends that story. It's never going to leave Russia again, whether it's independent, part of Ukraine or part of Russia. That  story is over….Excerpted from PIERS MORGAN LIVE MARCH 3, 2014.”

The worst revelation to emerge from this Ukraine Crisis is President Obama’s mantra that “we are on the right side of history.”  Worst still is that President Obama BELIEVES that glib pabulum, much to the detriment of the nation under his stewardship.

There is no right side of history; there is only good Leadership or poor Leadership. There is no right side of history, but there is a right or wrong side of geography. Switzerland is on the right side of geography; Ukraine is on the wrong side of geography.

Ukraine is Mexico.

“Poor  Mexico! So far from God and so close to the United States!” …Porfirio Diaz

“Poor Ukraine, so far from God, and so close to Russia.”…Gerry Maxey

Vladimir Putin wants Eastern Ukraine because it is Russian Orthodox in Religion, and Russian by History, language, and culture. Eastern Ukraine is the cradle of Russian Civilization, first home of the Rus, home of Boris and Gleb, the Lay of Igor’s Campaign, the Cossack, and TARAS BULBA. Vladimir Putin does not want Western Ukraine. Western Ukraine is a Bridge too Far for Putin; it is Catholic, Polish or Lithuanian by history and culture, and broke, really, really broke.

So the main question becomes can the United States and the European Union allow, tolerate, and countenance the separation of Western and Eastern Ukraine, and the subsequent absorption of Eastern Ukraine by Russia?

Can the United States and European Union MORALLY allow Eastern Russian Orthodox Ukraine to become a member of the Russian Federation?

This Blog answers that question:” What morality?

The United States under then President Bill Clinton and then Secretary of State Madeline Albright had no moral problem in allowing, tolerating, and countenancing the divorce of Kosovo from the sovereign state of Serbia just because the Kosovars wanted it. In fact Clinton and Albright went to immoral war to divorce Muslim Kosovo from  Orthodox Serbia; what is good for Kosovo is good for Russian Orthodox Eastern Ukraine.

There should be no map fetish concerning the sanctity of Ukraine’s borders; Ukraine is artificial, cobbled together after World War II by stealing land from Poland. Eastern Ukraine could be a province of Russia; Western Ukraine could still be the nation of Ukraine, religiously, linguistically and ethnically more homogenized that its current incarnation.

If the Western Allies could split up the Austro-Hungarian Empire, which had lasted for 1,000 years, they can split up the State of Ukraine which has been in existence for less than 25 years.

This Blog does not suggest that the United States and the European Union just give Eastern Ukraine to the Russian Federation. Ukraine is Mexico;’ Mexico sold land to the United States. The selling of land is a very 19^th Century concept, but it transfers sovereignty without ethnic war, or coups, or ski masked gunmen, all so common in the 21^st Century.

The United States bought land from Napoleon, the Louisiana Purchase; the United States bought Florida from Spain;  the United States bought Alaska from Russia;  the United States bought land from Mexico, the Gadsden Purchase.  Russia should have to buy Eastern Ukraine from the State of Ukraine.

The pro-Western government of Ukraine needs, by its own calculations,  35 Billion dollars to survive as a state until 2016; the State of Ukraine should sell Eastern Ukraine to the Russian Federation for $35 Billion Dollars.

That would clear rump Ukraine’s debt and give them a fresh start as a viable state.

Up to now, President Putin has been Bismarckian in his irredentism, cool, measured, successful. He has been cold steel in his geostrategic approach; however, each day President Putin’s contempt for President Obama grows, in that burgeoning contempt, President Putin will be tempted to over reach. Putin’s contempt of Obama may lure him into jettisoning a sound geostrategic game plan in order to indulge in personal humiliation of President Obama.  President Obama’ slavish devotion to Modernity  and Performance Art and dumb slogans invites humiliation from former KGB agents.

The United States cannot allow President Putin to drift into over reach because of his desire to humiliate President Obama. The American Public respects President Putin too much to allow him to over reach, regardless of the validity of his cause.

The United States should make a statement now that Estonia and the Baltic States are off limits to Russian irredentism; and that statement should be concrete. American soldiers should be based in Estonia now, as a trip wire against Putin’s Alluring Desire to  Over Reach.

It is in the interest of all involved that the United States keeps Putin Bismarckian.